ABSTRACT
This study explores market timing and stock selection by investment managers during the Covid-19 in Indonesia. By applying several sample criteria to the population of mutual funds registered at OJK, we found 55 stock mutual funds using the purposive sampling. We processed data using the STATA16 computer program. The Treynor-Mazuy conditional inflation and exchange rate model, according to the findings of this study, can show that market timing and stock selection for mutual fund managers have a positive and significant impact on improving the performance of equity fund portfolios during the pandemic in Indonesia. In Indonesia, there are 5 equities mutual funds having positive or market timing skills, accounting for 9.09 percent of all equity mutual funds, whereas the remaining 90.91 percent do not. The positive coefficient of the gamma variable shows that the investment manager’s ability to market time is expected to result in higher stock mutual fund returns. Positive or stock selectivity characteristics are available in 45 equity mutual funds, or 81.18 percent. The contribution of this study focuses on exchange rate and inflation. However, there needs to be a relevant follow-up comparison before the pandemic occurs. In addition, it is necessary to consider other elements in the macro-economy. © 2022, University of National and World Economy. All rights reserved.
ABSTRACT
This study provides an overview of the situation and condition of the share price of publicly listed companies on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic experienced by the investor community on the performance of the Indonesia capital market. The data collection of this research was carried out by survey techniques by giving online questionnaires to the respondents. This study uses semantic scale analysis to measure respondents' views about the share price of their portfolio, the impact of the pandemic, and the performance of the Indonesian capital market. We performed validity, reliability, and hypothesis tests in forming a well-fitted model. The results of this study indicate that all the variables studied are valid and reliable, the hypothesis of the proposed statement is accepted that meets the significance level of the F-test and t-test, meaning that the strength of the issuer's stock price and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. This is able to explain and influence the performance variables of the Indonesian capital market by 74.7% out of 100 respondents in 2020. Copyright©2021 by authors, all rights reserved.